These numbers are relatively small considering the 1.8 million registered voters in Nevada. But the Biden brand is now proving toxic or appears to be – at least in 2021.
![liberal crime squad disband liberal crime squad disband](https://i2-prod.birminghammail.co.uk/incoming/article8163373.ece/ALTERNATES/s615b/serious-crime-squad.jpg)
I am sure Dems were hopeful that the Trump brand would have caused more Republicans to flee than Democrats. So what does this mean? Some thoughts – inserting caveat that this is just three months of stats and it is a long way before November 2022: Here are the numbers, via the secretary of state: The numbers since September also show that one and a half times as many Democrats switched to nonpartisan as did Republicans – numbers also reflected in how many major party voters would rather be members of “The Jedi Party” or some other minor or essentially nonexistent party. More than two and a half times as many Democrats have switched their voter registrations to Republicans as vice-versa during the last three months, a statistic with ominous portents for Democratic candidates. The numbers for last month:Īll major party branding problems are equal, but some are more equal than others. (Those Independent American party numbers below surely reflect many who thought they were switching to nonpartisan, and Dems lost more there, too.) More than two-and-a-half times as many Democrats changed their party registrations to Republican in Nevada during December, according to figures from the secretary of state.Ībout one and a half times more Dems switched to nonpartisan as did Republicans. The numbers gradually escalated each month, but the GOP was significantly ahead of the Dems every month.Ī thousand here and a thousand there and pretty soon you are talking about real numbers. So about 1,000 more indies became Republicans than they became Dems during the last three months of 2021. Here are those revealing numbers for the last three months (first number is October, second is November, third is December): I - and others - wondered what the reverse trend has been - i.e. Numbers are still relatively small, but they can add up: And many more Dems going to indie than Repubs, too. The trend continues to be ominous for the Dems when it comes to party-switching, as nearly three times as many Dems switched to the GOP as vice-versa in January. 1 (four months of data):Īnd I only have data for three months on this: Here are some aggregate numbers since Oct. Whether this trend is the canary in the coal mine or much less meaningful will become clear come November. But a trend is a trend, and the markers all favor the GOP.
![liberal crime squad disband liberal crime squad disband](https://www.giantbomb.com/a/uploads/screen_medium/3/31603/964892-lcs3.png)
Here are the numbers for February (numbers in parentheses are aggregated for the last three months)- remember that these numbers are relatively small to overall number of registered voters and may reflect a desire to vote in primaries.